In 2010, 18,840 voters in Kent County participated within the Democratic gubernatorial major.
That quantity greater than tripled to 64,266 on Tuesday, the primary time since Michigan has had an open governor’s seat and a contested major in each events.
In the meantime, the variety of Republican ballots dropped 20 p.c, from 85,603 in 2010 to 68,186 this week.
It was not an anomaly.
In Ottawa and Grand Traverse counties, the variety of Democratic ballots quadrupled in Tuesday’s gubernatorial major in comparison with 2010.
The numbers tripled in Kalamazoo, Livingston, Midland, Emmet, Charlevoix, Kalamazoo, Allegan, Ionia, Department, Wexford and St. Joseph counties.
Statewide, participation on this week’s Democratic gubernatorial major greater than doubled — up 113 p.c in comparison with 2010 — whereas the variety of voters selecting a Republican poll dropped 6 p.c.
Different indicators of a Democratic surge, based mostly on voting in Tuesday’s gubernatorial contests:
- 53 p.c of ballots have been solid for Democratic candidates in comparison with 33 p.c within the 2010 August major.
- 82 of Michigan’s 83 counties noticed a rise within the variety of Democratic ballots. The one exception was Iron County within the Higher Peninsula.
- Six counties who voted for President Trump in 2016 had extra Democratic than Republican voters on Tuesday. These counties: Macomb, Bay, Leelanau, Houghton, Gogebic and Alger.
“The most important factor is that this election is that it exhibits the Democrats are motivated and a few Republicans are coming to our facet,” stated Mark Grebner, a Democratic strategist who heads Sensible Political Consulting in Lansing.
“It has been clear we have been seeing a Democratic tide throughout the nation” in current months, Grebner stated. “Now we’re seeing it right here.”
To make certain, the 2010 Democratic major contest between Virg Bernero and Andy Dillon had “pathetic candidates,” which depressed Democratic voting that 12 months, Grebner stated.
Nonetheless, Tuesday’s numbers mirror a big “blue shift” — significantly in prosperous, well-educated communities, he stated.
Reliably Republican Kent County is “on its approach” to turning into a swing county, very similar to Oakland, Grebner stated.
“Who would have considered East Grand Rapids as a Democratic stronghold? However that is taking place,” he stated.
A part of that’s antipathy towards President Trump, Grebner stated.
However a part of it, he added, is a “traditional shift” that happens in midterm elections when voters turn into disenchanted with the occasion in energy — a phenomenon seen within the 2010 election, which Michigan voters elected Republican Rick Snyder as governor to exchange Democrat Jennifer Granholm.
Whereas that creates a good surroundings for Democrats in November, Grebner stated the “blue wave” is not inevitable.
“The Democratic Social gathering on the state and nationwide degree is so incompetent that we may blow this,” he stated. “However a minimum of we’ve got an opportunity.”
Under is an internet database that appears at county-level Democratic vs. Republican vote totals within the August gubernatorial primaries in 2010 and 2018.
Votes in August gubernatorial major, 2010 vs. 2018
In the event you click on on “all counties,” you’ll be able to see a rating of Michigan’s 83 counties based mostly on the rise in Democratic ballots between 2010 and 2018.
To see a rating based mostly on the change in Republican ballots, click on on the heading of the final column. Click on as soon as to create a rating that begins with the most important enhance; click on twice to see a rating that begins with the most important decline.
For a deeper dive into the numbers, click on right here to see shaded maps analyzing Tuesday’s vote totals.