Yesterday NOAA launched its newest winter forecast. The forecast does put Michigan in irregular circumstances for each temperature and precipitation. I talked to the NOAA forecasters, they usually admit it isn’t an actual assured forecast.

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In a protracted vary forecast like this newest forecast for 2 to 4 months from now, the boldness can vary from a toss-up to pretty sure. To have a winter forecast with increased confidence, a robust El Nino is required. 

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And that is the rationale for a…

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