It’s been over two years since Denver final noticed an above common month-to-month snow complete.
To date this month, Denver has formally seen 3.1 inches of snowfall. The entire snow got here final Wednesday, and far of the metro space acquired greater than the official three inch complete measured at Denver Worldwide Airport. Denver averages 7.7 inches of snow throughout the month of February, so simple arithmetic tells you that Denver now wants 4.6 inches of snow to match its month-to-month common.
Via Monday, Denver’s acquired about 40 p.c of its typical February snowfall about 39 p.c of the best way by way of the month. So technically, Denver is a tick forward of schedule on its month-to-date snowfall. Nevertheless it’s a near-lock that we received’t see measurable snowfall by way of a minimum of Wednesday and possibly Thursday, which is able to put us at solely 3.1 inches of snow roughly midway by way of the month.
There are, nevertheless, a few snow possibilities on the horizon later this week.
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After a heat Wednesday and Thursday, we’ll get a few photographs at snow later this week. The primary comes within the type of some doable snow showers Thursday evening into Friday, however this seems to be pretty unimpressive at this level. As of Monday evening, the Nationwide Climate Service didn’t have any snow within the forecast for Denver on Thursday or Friday.
Laptop fashions are nonetheless flipping round on the monitor of a probably extra vital storm system for this weekend and into early subsequent week. Most forecast fashions present a big, well-developed trough of low stress shifting by way of our a part of the nation this weekend or early subsequent week, however there are massive disagreements on timing and the monitor of a doable storm.
A colder and extra unsettled sample has been hinted at for some time now, and medium-range outlooks from the Local weather Prediction Middle proceed to point out a colder and wetter sample for Colorado and far of the West for subsequent week.
However whereas large-scale tendencies would possibly paint a extra lively sample for Colorado and the Entrance Vary, it’s usually smaller-scale options that decide simply how a lot snow Denver will or received’t see. In different phrases, an total colder and wetter sample for our a part of the nation doesn’t essentially imply it’ll result in snow for Denver.
What is a little more sure, nevertheless, is a continuation of the widely colder-than-average sample that’s been in place for Colorado and the Entrance Vary thus far this month. Via Sunday, Denver’s common temperature was operating 1.5° beneath common, and chilly temperatures effectively beneath common are probably subsequent week.
As of late Monday evening, the Nationwide Climate Service had solely “a slight likelihood for snow showers” in its forecast for Sunday. That mentioned, forecasts this far out are practically sure to vary, and the general sample seems to be extra favorable for doable snow alongside the Entrance Vary.
On the very least, there might be extra snow within the forecast, and perhaps simply sufficient to interrupt that pesky 25-month streak of below-average snowfall. We’ll be watching.