In line with an American Gaming Affiliation survey, 47 million People will wager $8.5 billion on the NCAA event this yr, and whereas greater than half of that astounding sum shall be wagered through bracket swimming pools, $3.9 billion shall be wager on the video games themselves through a sportsbook (both in individual or on-line), by way of a bookie or with a buddy.

It’s that latter group — by which level spreads come into play — that considerations us right here. Earlier than you step as much as the window for this week’s first-round video games, listed below are some issues to bear in mind.

Understand that these traits shouldn’t be thought of predictive and that basing your picks solely on them is much from advisable. As an alternative, add them to your general data base. All level spreads referenced beneath have been taken Monday morning from the consensus traces at VegasInsider.com. Historic unfold data is from Covers.com.

No. 1 vs. No. 16: Prime-seeded groups are 10-14 towards the unfold (ATS) within the first spherical over the previous six tournaments (2-2 ATS in every of the previous two years). However since 1985, No. 1 seeds are 15-6 ATS within the opening spherical when the unfold is 19.5 factors or decrease, together with 8-2 over the previous 12 seasons (1-1 final yr). Neither of this yr’s No. 1 seeds that know their first-round opponents (Virginia and North Carolina) are beneath that threshold, nevertheless, and it’s unlikely both Duke or Gonzaga shall be something lower than large favorites, both.

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No. 2 vs. No. 15: Second-seeded groups are 22-21-1 ATS within the first spherical since 2008. Over that span, No. 15 seeds which can be getting not less than 18 factors are on a 11-3-1 ATS streak (2-1 final yr). Bradley (+18 vs. Michigan State) and Abilene Christian (+22 vs. Kentucky) match the invoice this yr.

No. Three vs. No. 14: Over the previous 5 seasons, No. 14 seeds which can be underdogs of not less than 12 factors are 9-Three ATS within the first spherical (1-Zero final yr). Northern Kentucky (+14 vs. Texas Tech), Georgia State (+12 vs. Houston) and Outdated Dominion (+12 vs. Purdue) all qualify.

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No. 4. vs. No. 13: From 1990 to 2013, favorites on this matchup have been 54-41-1 ATS. However since then, they’ve gone simply 8-12 ATS, together with 0-Four final yr, when two No. Four seeds — Wichita State and Arizona — misplaced outright within the first spherical.

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